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Viewpoints, Outlook

Aug. 23, 2007, 8:09PM
On wrong side of history: Bush's Vietnam analogy incorrect
However, U.S. is making the same errors in Iraq

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In his continuing attempts to justify escalation of the war in Iraq, President Bush has resorted to historical analogy, warning that a hasty retreat from the Middle East would trigger a bloodbath as it did in Cambodia and Vietnam in the 1970s. Not only is the comparison faulty, it is historically inaccurate.

"In Cambodia," Bush said, "the Khmer Rouge began a murderous rule in which hundreds of thousands of Cambodians died by starvation and torture and execution" and "in Vietnam, former allies of the United States, and government workers and intellectuals and businessmen were sent off to prison camps, where tens of thousands perished. Hundreds of thousands more fled the country on rickety boats, many of them going to their graves in the South China Sea."

Bush and defenders of the current war and Vietnam ignore crucial aspects of history, however. Vietnam by 1975 had been wracked by a brutal fratricidal war for over a quarter-century, and recriminations were unavoidable, and made inevitable by the nature of the U.S. intervention and occupation of the southern half of Vietnam.

His analogy of Cambodia is more off-track. The Khmer Rouge slaughter was not caused by the U.S. withdrawal from Indochina in 1973, but by the U.S. escalation of the war and intervention into Cambodia in the years prior to that time. The United States had been conducting a "secret war" kept secret from the American people but not from the Cambodians on the receiving end of B-52 strikes since the later 1960s. In April 1970, then, Richard Nixon authorized what he called an "incursion" of Cambodia on the pretext of destroying the headquarters for Vietnamese Communist military operations there, the so-called COSVN, or Central Office for South Vietnam.

A month earlier, however, in March 1970, the United States had facilitated the ouster of the Cambodian head-of-state, Prince Norodom Sihanouk, and replaced him with a weak but pliable politician named Lon Nol. At this time, the Khmer Rouge was a small splinter group of the far left, without much popular support or military power. But the U.S.-sponsored coup, and the subsequent invasion in April, proved to be a great blessing to the Khmer Rouge. With Sihanouk, who had tried to remain neutral in the larger Indochinese conflict and thus was not preventing either the Vietnamese Communists or the U.S. from operating in Cambodia, out of the way and Lon Nol, perceived as a "puppet" of Nixon, in office, there was no middle ground in Cambodia. As a result, the Khmer Rouge soared in influence and popularity by exploiting the heavy-handed American political and military intervention.

By the mid-1970s, as the U.S. air war against Cambodia continued, killing hundreds of thousands of Cambodians, the Khmer Rouge was well-positioned as the anti-American and anti-Lon Nol alternative, and so was able to swarm into Phnom Penh and establish a regime in April 1975, and then unleashing a genocidal wave of killings that lasted until the Vietnamese intervened and ousted the Khmer Rouge leader Pol Pot in January 1979. Even after that ouster, however, the United States continued to work with the Khmer Rouge, supporting covert operations against the Vietnamese-supported new government in Phnom Penh and even, in the Ronald Reagan years, supporting the Khmer Rouge claim to Cambodia's seat at the United Nations.

Now, as in the Vietnam era, the United States finds itself in a similarly intractable position. By intervening in a country that was not stable to begin with, putting a government into power that is derided as a U.S. client regime, heightening internal struggles, this time between Shiite and Sunni, taking sides in a civil war, causing massive destruction, and continuing to fight amid escalating bloodshed abroad and popular protest at home, the Bush administration is making many of the same errors that the Johnson and Nixon administrations did during the Vietnam War. While there does not appear to be a genocidal Khmer Rouge-type group lurking in the background and ready to cause incalculable terror, there is no question that the various armed groups that have emerged in Iraq since March 2003 are certain to persist and cause greater mayhem and death, perhaps throughout the entire Middle East.

So Bush's analogy is not only incorrect, but exposes the perhaps unavoidable fate facing the United States in Iraq. Continuing this war amid the daily deterioration will only prolong the time it will take to rebuild Iraq and try to heal the hatred and fear that now engulfs it. The sooner the United States begins a timely withdrawal from Iraq, the sooner the Iraqis themselves can begin to sort out their problems, and hopefully prevent a repeat of the killing fields of Cambodia.

Buzzanco is professor and chair of the Department of History at the University of Houston. He is also author of "Masters of War: Military Dissent and Politics in the Vietnam Era and Vietnam and the Transformation of American Life." Readers may e-mail him at buzz@uh.edu.


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DennisN wrote:
Time for a brief history lesson. The nation of Iraq was created by teh wrongful intervention of other countries. Iraq was formed by the French and British as provided by the Sykes-Picot Agreement. No true unified nation of Iraq has ever existed. That's one reason I always cringe when I hear George W. talk about "the Iraqi people", because there really is no such thing. Obviously Britain and France got it wrong the first time around, just as we (and our "coalition", whatever that means) got it wrong this time. The Bush argument linking Iraq to Vietnam is the latest, most desperate plea from an administration that is fundamentally unable to admit a mistake and is endlessly searching for a new justification for their actions.
8/24/2007 9:59:44 AM
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To add, I don't buy the Domino Theory of surrounding states falling to religious extremism. However, it seems fairly likely that a U.S. pullout will plunge the area into instability on a scale even greater than the situation currently before us. Common predictions forecast that Turkey will likely invade the Kurdish region (at the very least to flush out the PKK), Saudi Arabia will probably send some form of support (arms, men, funds) to defend against Shi'a dominance. Iran will take an even greater role in shaping geopolitics. It should be stressed that such events are guaranteed, but it isn't a stretch that it would occur as far as I can see. These will most likely have very real repurcussiions for the U.S. diplomatically and economically.
8/24/2007 9:07:38 AM
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I agree with tdgrif on this one. Buzzanco made Bush's analogy even more strikingly correct. It seems as though Buzzanco comes to the appropriate conclusion that genocide will occur, but avoids conceding by adopting euphemisms, such as "sort out their problems." He resorts to hoping that the Iraqis won't slaughter each other. I'm sorry, but if we withdraw, they will. Of course, we have strategic interests in Iraq as well.

Buzzanco states that there aren't genocidal killing groups lurking in Iraq. He must be wilfully ignorant. Many of the Eight Stages of Genocide--penned by Gregory H. Stanton, founder of Genocide Watch (genocidewatch.com) and the Cambodian Genocide Project--are manifest in Iraq.

1) Classification: Sunnis and Shi'a (and Kurds). Genocide is most likely in binary societies.

2) Symbolization: We give names or other symbols to the classification. Hostile Sunni and Shi'a groups have been spewing slurs at one another, calling each other infidels, unbelievers, dogs, etc. These are pretty awful things to say to call one another in a society that values religious piety and finds dogs unclean. In addition, one's name carries religious symbolism. In fact, it can be a death sentence. Militias in Iraq have targeted, tortured, kidnapped, and murdered people with names that signify a particular branch of Islam. Omar, for example,is Sunni. According to a Time article, "bodies of 14 Omars were found in a Baghdad garbage dump" in 2006.

I don't have time to detail all of them, but the remaining stages are:
3)dehumanization of targeted group (torture, calling them "dogs").
4)organization- (militias)
5)polarization- (differences between Shi'a and Sunni existed before U.S. presence, but our policies exacerbated them)
6)preparation- death lists are drawn up. This has already occurred; Iraqis are finding their names on online death lists.
7)extermination- We've only seen the beginning.
8)And, when it is over, there is a Denial that it occurred.

It seems wheels of genocide are in motion. Again, tdgrif points out the similarities between Vietnam, Cambodia, and Iraq. While Buzzanco may have a strong command of the facts, IMO his analysis comes up short.
8/24/2007 8:58:53 AM
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From what I've read and heard about Iraq's internal problems, it seems that similarity between the Vietnam conflict and the Iraq conflict boils down to the U.S. government dragging our country into an unwinnable situation where we are in "over our heads". If the draft had been reinstated, and the sons and daughters of our Congressmen/women had been forced to fight in Iraq, I think the opposition we are now seeing from the President's own party would have happened a lot sooner.
8/24/2007 8:54:29 AM
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tdgrif wrote:
Am I reading the same points that Prof. Buzzanco used to support his argument or has something been edited?

Until reading this Op-Ed, I agreed with the headline that there was no analogy between Cambodia and Iraq. Yet, just the opposite appears to be true. To wit:

1) The U.S. intervened in both countries. This caused a revolt by a third party, the Khmer Rouge, in Cambodia to replace the government while we ousted a malicious dictator in Iraq. Either way, there was some type of intervention.

2) There was and are at least one warring faction in both countries which seem bent on genocide, the Khmer Rouge and take your choice of the Shiite or Sunni radicals.

The difference is that the Khmer Rouge did take over Cambodia while neither the Shiites nor Sunnis have taken over Iraq.

I am not saying that I support or denounce Iraq, only that the facts presented by Prof. Buzzanco do not support his conclusion that the analogy is incorrect. Rather, they support a very distinct possibility that we have opened a Pandora's box which can ultimately result in a Cambodia like case of genocide. The intervention has happened. The waring factions have happened. Only the genocide remains. Both Cambodia and Iraq are the result of U.S. blunders and the Law of Unintended Consequences.
8/24/2007 7:40:39 AM
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